Latest Poll - UKIP on 5%

tito · 17-02-2007, 12:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by exo-politics

Quote:

Originally Posted by Britannist

Only stand in local council By-Elections if the candidate has the resources and abilities to run a professional campaign. No paper candidates in local By-Elections as UKIP just ends up (in some cases) getting a very low vote which opponents of the party then poke fun at (while hiding the fact that some of their candidates did even worse in the main May local elections).

I would disagree with this statement. The only parties that I've seen poking fun at our local election results have been the BNP and the English Democrats, largely here on this forum. We may not do well in a local election, but a paper candidate takes up minimal resources and gives us a starting point for future elections and gets our name known. "You have to be in it to win it." I can see the use in targetting for General Elections and the national assembleys for financial and campaign reasons, but for the local elections I believe standing is unquestionable.

Plus more candidates == A party broadcast

eublues · 17-02-2007, 12:53 AM

Quote:

The situation where there is a 'paper candidate' should not be allowed to arise. UKIP needs to have a central department which gives help to all local election candidates (i.e getting party volunteers in from other areas if necessary to assist candidates short on help and resources).

For local elections the candidates have to live or work in the local authority area. There may be 20 seats to be contested at a time - just finding 10 candidates of any sort would be good going.

Britannist · 17-02-2007, 02:30 AM

Just a point regarding the title of this thread - the YouGov opinion poll. Here's a statement from Mr. Nigel Farage MEP:

:arrow:
http://www.ukip.org/ukip_news/gen12.php?t=1&id=2877

Anthony Butcher · 17-02-2007, 03:20 AM

Quote:

UK Independence Party leader Nigel Farage said:

"We are enormously encouraged by the progress we are making. Under First Past the Post, we were never higher than 5%, even when we scored 16% nationally in the European Elections. I am personally especially pleased with the polls which include Wales, showing that they are now up to 7%. OUr next urgent task is to raise sufficient funds to fight that Welsh elections campaign."

prober · 17-02-2007, 10:35 AM

Notably 1% of under 34s would vote UKIP.... not surprising as UKIP has no interest in this age sector until Del Young forced the issue ( but probably too late to impact on local elections ), and a much lower % of women than men would vote UKIP... not surprising as UKIP has nothing yet to say re female related concerns ( notable in Bromley).

Tom Wilde · 17-02-2007, 11:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by prober

Notably 1% of under 34s would vote UKIP.... not surprising as UKIP has no interest in this age sector until Del Young forced the issue ( but probably too late to impact on local elections ), and a much lower % of women than men would vote UKIP... not surprising as UKIP has nothing yet to say re female related concerns ( notable in Bromley).

Hi prober,

I recall some months ago you claimed that Farage would have 100 days to prove himself. (You didn't offer any proof of this claim, but I remember you being quite insistent about it.) Presumably he has now been leader for a little longer than 100 days. We've had shedloads of media coverage and we're up to 5% in the polls for the first time since about 2004. I take it you are satisfied that Farage has passed the test you set him?

Britannist · 17-02-2007, 05:37 PM

5% in a national opinion poll (by YouGov) with no party advertising campaign or party election broadcastst having been shown on television is a good result for UKIP. As is a 7% vote share in the English Midlands/Wales (probably about 9% in the Midlands and 3% in Wales to be exact).

The 5% will probably fall in the next opinion poll and go back up to 5% in another. What is clear is that the UKIP opinion poll share is up but this is not being reflected in local council By-Elections.

5% does not mean that UKIP will have a brilliant performance in the May 2007 local authority elections - but it does point to a possible electoral recovery for UKIP after media reports of splits in the party over Kilroy in 2004 and early 2005.

17-02-2007, 02:30 AM	#43 (permalink)
Britannist Uber Member Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: London Posts: 23,176	Nigel Farage is pleased with the latest YouGov opinion poll Just a point regarding the title of this thread - the YouGov opinion poll. Here's a statement from Mr. Nigel Farage MEP: :arrow: http://www.ukip.org/ukip_news/gen12.php?t=1&id=2877

17-02-2007, 05:37 PM	#47 (permalink)
Britannist Uber Member Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: London Posts: 23,176	UKIP on 5% in latest opinion poll 5% in a national opinion poll (by YouGov) with no party advertising campaign or party election broadcastst having been shown on television is a good result for UKIP. As is a 7% vote share in the English Midlands/Wales (probably about 9% in the Midlands and 3% in Wales to be exact). The 5% will probably fall in the next opinion poll and go back up to 5% in another. What is clear is that the UKIP opinion poll share is up but this is not being reflected in local council By-Elections. 5% does not mean that UKIP will have a brilliant performance in the May 2007 local authority elections - but it does point to a possible electoral recovery for UKIP after media reports of splits in the party over Kilroy in 2004 and early 2005.

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17-02-2007, 10:35 AM	#45 (permalink)
prober Senior Member Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 860	Notably 1% of under 34s would vote UKIP.... not surprising as UKIP has no interest in this age sector until Del Young forced the issue ( but probably too late to impact on local elections ), and a much lower % of women than men would vote UKIP... not surprising as UKIP has nothing yet to say re female related concerns ( notable in Bromley).