There is some truth in that. However, there are seats with a proven track record of eurosceptic voting.
Take Bexhill and Battle for instance(in a similar part of the country if I recall). In 1997 the Referendum Party took 6.74% and UKIP a further 1.6%.
In 2001 UKIP struggled to match the success the Referendum Party had had in 1997, yet Nigel Farage took 7.8% of the vote in Bexhill and Battle for UKIP - I think this was UKIP's highest vote share ever in a constituency until the Hartlepool by-election?
The 2001 general election results do give us some idea, but we would be foolish to rely on them as the sole indicators of where to stand.
Thanet South is a marginal; Bexhill and Battle is not. Therefore whoever stands in Bexhill and Battle is unlikely to be facing a serious campaign from Labour, Lib Dem or Conservative. They should have a free hand to win votes.
If Nigel Farage has chosen Thanet South, then he must have a good reason(local issues perhaps?). Good luck to him!
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