The opinion polls thread

[KrisH]

26th February 2012

YouGov / Sunday Times

Sample size: 1697 GB Adults
Fieldwork: 23rd - 24th February 2012

Con 38% / Lab 40% / Lib Dem 10% / UKIP 5% / Others 7%

Source: YouGov

[KrisH]

ComRes / Sunday Mirror & Independent on Sunday

Sample size: 2014 GB Adults
Fieldwork: 15th - 16th February 2012

Con 30% / Lab 32% / Lib Dem 7% / UKIP 6% / Others 7%

Source: ComRes

Note: This is the most recent political poll from ComRes.

[Richard Allen]

ComRes / Sunday Mirror & Independent on Sunday

Sample size: 2014 GB Adults
Fieldwork: 15th - 16th February 2012

Con 30% / Lab 32% / Lib Dem 7% / UKIP 6% / Others 7%

Source: ComRes

Note: This is the most recent political poll from ComRes.

Actually the poll puts the Conservatives on 39%, Labour on 38% and the Lib Dems on 10%.

[Niall Warry]

There are lies damn lies and statistics!

[KrisH]

Actually the poll puts the Conservatives on 39%, Labour on 38% and the Lib Dems on 10%.

See p.7 Richard:

Q.3 If there was a general election tomorrow, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat or some other party? Base: All respondents saying 5-10 likely to vote

Con 30% / Lab 32% / Lib Dem 7% / UKIP 6% / Others 7%

Source: ComRes

[KrisH]

There are lies damn lies and statistics!

Please explain.

[Richard Allen]

See p.7 Richard:

Q.3 If there was a general election tomorrow, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat or some other party? Base: All respondents saying 5-10 likely to vote

Con 30% / Lab 32% / Lib Dem 7% / UKIP 6% / Others 7%

Source: ComRes

But that is not the result of the opinion poll as published by ComRes. The published figures, following weighting and adjustments made for don't knows is on page 1. It is

Con: 39%
Lab: 38%
LD: 10%
Other: 13%

[KrisH]

But that is not the result of the opinion poll as published by ComRes. The published figures, following weighting and adjustments made for don't knows is on page 1. It is

Con: 39%
Lab: 38%
LD: 10%
Other: 13%

I'm only interested in the raw facts Richard (i.e. those likely to vote).

[Richard Allen]

I'm only interested in the raw facts Richard (i.e. those likely to vote).

Which is fine, just don't pretend that you are presented valid opinion polling evidence.

[KrisH]

Which is fine, just don't pretend that you are presented valid opinion polling evidence.

I did present valid evidence, Richard.

The raw data shows that 6 per cent (95 people) said they would vote for UKIP if there was a general election tomorrow.