UKIP percentage in Henley

Raymond Finch · 25-06-2008, 09:42 PM

1) Tories 50%
2) LDs 25%
3) UKIP 6%
4) Green 5%
4) Lab 4%

The others to get @ 10% between them.

I understand Labour are facing a disaster and the LDs are feeling that they have wasted a large amount of money for no apparent result. They were hoping for over 30% but they have failed to get the Labour vote to join them.
This is only the information I am getting from friends and contacts in various parties. If it is horribly wrong then so be it. Try not to shoot the messenger. :-)

Populist Lee · 25-06-2008, 10:10 PM

So your *contacts* are saying in a round about way that the Unmentionables could get nearly 10%?

Raymond Finch · 25-06-2008, 10:26 PM

Err. No!
There are 7 other candidates.

Populist Lee · 25-06-2008, 10:30 PM

They could all get 1% in total.
Something similar happened in Crewe.

Raymond Finch · 25-06-2008, 10:39 PM

If the BNP beat UKIP I will eat my hat.
They really have no chance of that.
That isn't to say there are no places where they would get a substantial vote.
Henley however, is not one of them.

Populist Lee · 25-06-2008, 10:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Raymond Finch

If the BNP beat UKIP I will eat my hat.
They really have no chance of that.
That isn't to say there are no places where they would get a substantial vote.
Henley however, is not one of them.

That's interesting.
If UKIP beat the BNP, the BNP are in serious trouble . . .

HM · 25-06-2008, 10:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Populist Lee

That's interesting.
If UKIP beat the BNP, the BNP are in serious trouble . . .

I agree with that and will enjoy watching it happen.

Vortex · 25-06-2008, 11:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Populist Lee

That's interesting.
If UKIP beat the BNP, the BNP are in serious trouble . . .

I don't think so. Look at all the derogatory votes UKIP have got in the past couple of years and they always bounce back.

Anyway, it would be great to see Labour lose their deposit, I hope we can agree with that. The Tories will win it, the LibDems will do well, Labour will be embarrassed, the BNP will finish above UKIP and the Greens, and Raymond Finch will have to eat his hat.

Populist Lee · 25-06-2008, 11:16 PM

~Just a day and a bit to go, anyway.

Does anyone know at this point when the Declaration is expected?

Vortex · 25-06-2008, 11:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Populist Lee

~Just a day and a bit to go, anyway.

Does anyone know at this point when the Declaration is expected?

Being such a large constituency I would have thought late, about 1am. I won't wait up for it though, the only interest will be to see how the minor parties do.

Oh and how badly Labour do!

View Poll Results: What percentage of the vote do you think UKIP will get in the Henley by-election?
0-2%	11	23.40%
2-4%	18	38.30%
4-6%	7	14.89%
6-8%	7	14.89%
8-10%	3	6.38%
Over 10%	1	2.13%
Voters: 47. You may not vote on this poll

25-06-2008, 10:10 PM	#32 (permalink)
Populist Lee Uber Member Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 2,247 Party: Other	So your contacts are saying in a round about way that the Unmentionables could get nearly 10%? __________________ ENGLISH POPULISM Stands as the only obstacle in the path of the Plutocrats who seek to reduce all the Peoples of the World to Economic and Political Slavery under Globalism POPULISM MEANS WHAT YOU WANT IS WHAT YOU GET

25-06-2008, 10:30 PM	#34 (permalink)
Populist Lee Uber Member Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 2,247 Party: Other	They could all get 1% in total. Something similar happened in Crewe. __________________ ENGLISH POPULISM Stands as the only obstacle in the path of the Plutocrats who seek to reduce all the Peoples of the World to Economic and Political Slavery under Globalism POPULISM MEANS WHAT YOU WANT IS WHAT YOU GET

25-06-2008, 11:16 PM	#39 (permalink)
Populist Lee Uber Member Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 2,247 Party: Other	~Just a day and a bit to go, anyway. Does anyone know at this point when the Declaration is expected? __________________ ENGLISH POPULISM Stands as the only obstacle in the path of the Plutocrats who seek to reduce all the Peoples of the World to Economic and Political Slavery under Globalism POPULISM MEANS WHAT YOU WANT IS WHAT YOU GET

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25-06-2008, 09:42 PM	#31 (permalink)
Raymond Finch Senior Member Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 515	1) Tories 50% 2) LDs 25% 3) UKIP 6% 4) Green 5% 4) Lab 4% The others to get @ 10% between them. I understand Labour are facing a disaster and the LDs are feeling that they have wasted a large amount of money for no apparent result. They were hoping for over 30% but they have failed to get the Labour vote to join them. This is only the information I am getting from friends and contacts in various parties. If it is horribly wrong then so be it. Try not to shoot the messenger. :-)

25-06-2008, 10:26 PM	#33 (permalink)
Raymond Finch Senior Member Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 515	Err. No! There are 7 other candidates.

25-06-2008, 10:39 PM	#35 (permalink)
Raymond Finch Senior Member Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 515	If the BNP beat UKIP I will eat my hat. They really have no chance of that. That isn't to say there are no places where they would get a substantial vote. Henley however, is not one of them.