Model scams

mkpdavies · 10-03-2008, 04:17 PM

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As an economist with some knowledge of how difficult it is to identify all relevant variables in making an economic forecast, let alone the magnitude of each variable, I am bemused when told that climate models predict this or that, given that they are usually of much greater complexity than economic models. Which climate models predicted the large increase in Northern Hemisphere snow cover this year? Or the record sea ice around Antarctica? Or that there would be fewer rather than more Atlantic hurricanes over the last three seasons? None did so, as far as I can find.

Exactly. Not one of the climate models is worth spit. There isn't a model avaialble that can possibly take into account all the variables required, never mind then plug in the correct values. They are bogus.

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Yes, the climate is changing, it always has and always will, and people have learned to adapt quite well to these changes without resorting to the arrogant notion that man now has the power to change the global climate. Before the computer age, no one would have seriously claimed he or she could predict the world's weather — or climate change — for the next century.

Only because not many understand how climate models work, and how poor are the data fed into them, doomsayers and their parasitic allies (under the cloak of scientific respectability) are able to acquire taxpayer dollars. Ask yourself: "If the climate models showed the Earth purring along as usual, how much money would be appropriated for the model builders and agricultural and energy subsidy seekers?"

Richard W. Rahn is the chairman of the Institute for Global Economic Growth

Thank God there are still people left with an ounce of common sense.

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