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#1 (permalink)
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Uber Member
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Hurricane season 2007 is near the record low of 1977 « Watts Up With That?
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Hurricanes are so yesterdays disaster to blame on MMGW.
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#4 (permalink) |
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An upward trend? Looks like it peaked in 2004 to me and we're now on a downward trend. 2004 didn't get close to 1992 either.
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Manus haec inimica tyrannis ense petit placidam sub libertate quietam - "This hand of mine, which is hostile to tyrants, seeks by the sword quiet peace under liberty." |
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#5 (permalink) |
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ModernUKIP,
Some explanation of time series data:- Any one time unit can have a value of the response way above or below it’s neighbours, but over a longer period, the basic mean of the response can rise or fall. If you take an individual result out of context of course you can get seemingly contradictory conclusions. As a point of interest, consider the ‘shape’ of the period from 1970-1977 versus 1991-1999. Looks quite similar to me. However, if you calculate a running mean or a cusum of the individual data, I think you’ll find, as gc pointed out, that there is an upward trend (in the mean). Additionally, (but I can’t find it at this instant), Akria added much more factual data concerning this year’s season in a recent post – like it started of with 2 landfall category 5 hurricanes – never heard of before. (this data doesn’t seem to be corrected for the estimated ‘strength’ of hurricanes) Finally, it looks also that this data doesn’t include ALL tropical cyclones i.e. those occurring in the Pacific & Indian Oceans so I would caution you trying to use this data in isolation to ‘disprove’ GW or AGW. |
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#6 (permalink) | |
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Quote:
Statistics can be used to prove anything.
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Manus haec inimica tyrannis ense petit placidam sub libertate quietam - "This hand of mine, which is hostile to tyrants, seeks by the sword quiet peace under liberty." |
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#8 (permalink) |
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Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: The Westcountry.
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Yes, in the face of a downward curve it is quite ridiculous.
I'll repeat that I was referring to the short term, for your benefit.
__________________
Manus haec inimica tyrannis ense petit placidam sub libertate quietam - "This hand of mine, which is hostile to tyrants, seeks by the sword quiet peace under liberty." |
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LinkBack to this Thread: http://www.democracyforum.co.uk/environment-energy/43588-hurricane-season-2007-near-record-low-1977-a.html
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| Posted By | For | Type | Date | |
| Hurricane season 2007 is near the record low of 1977 « Watts Up With That? | This thread | Refback | 19-11-2008 10:47 AM | |
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