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Old 30-04-2008, 07:41 AM   #1 (permalink)
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Default Sun E-Poll English Democrats on 6%

BoJo takes lead in Sun e-pollBy VIKKI THOMAS

Online Sun readers vote for Boris in e-poll | The Sun |HomePage|News|London Mayor

Published: 28 Apr 2008


Conservative & Unionist 54% (MSN on-line 50%)

Labour (Anti-English) 15% (MSN on-line 15%)

Liberal Democrat (Pro EUssr) 9% (MSN on-line 5%)

British Nasty Party 7% (MSN on-line 4%)

English Democrats 6% (MSN on-line 17%)

UKIP 6% (MSN on-line 4%)

Green 1% (MSN on-line 1%)

Left List 0% (MSN on-line 1%)

Independent 0% (MSN on-line 1%)

Christians 0% (MSN on-line 1%)

AN EXCLUSIVE Sun e-poll has shown Conservative candidate Boris Johnson is striding ahead of red rival Ken Livingstone.

The result comes just days before voters across the capital take to the polls and decide who should become the Mayor of London.

Conducted over the last three weeks, our poll asked who should be the winner of the May 1 election and shows true Blue BoJo has racked-up a whopping 54 per cent.

In second place was Labour's candidate and governing Mayor, Ken Livingstone with a 15 per cent share of the vote.

And in third place was former top cop and Liberal Democrat Brian Paddick with 9 per cent of votes.

But hot on his heels was Richard Barnbrook, the British National Party's candidate, who took seven per cent of the vote.

Gerard Batten, who is representing the UK Independence Party racked-up six per cent.

And Matt O'Connor representing the English Democrats also won six per cent of the vote.

Green representative Sian Berry was not left too red faced after pulling in one per cent of votes but failing to get off the ground at all were candidates for the Left List, the Independent candidate and the candidate standing for the Christian Party Alliance and Christian Party
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Old 30-04-2008, 07:45 AM   #2 (permalink)
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Combination of the Two On-line Polls gives

Conservative & Unionist 52%

Labour (Anti-English) 15%

English Democrats 11.5%

Liberal Democrat (Pro EUssr) 7%

British Nasty Party 5.5%

UKIP 5%

Christians 1.5%

Green 1%

Left List 0.5%

Independent 0.5%

Circa 20,000 Votes
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Old 30-04-2008, 08:18 AM   #3 (permalink)
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There's absolutely no way Red Ken's vote will collapse that dramatically.
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Old 30-04-2008, 08:49 AM   #4 (permalink)
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Possibly Labour voters don't own computers ?
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Old 30-04-2008, 08:52 AM   #5 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Michael Heaver View Post
There's absolutely no way Red Ken's vote will collapse that dramatically.
More's the pity.

London Mayoral Election 2008 candidates: Richard Barnbrook - British National Party, Gerard Batten - UK Independence Party, Siān Berry - Green Party, Alan Craig - Christian Peoples Alliance and Christian Party , Lindsey German - Left List, Boris Johnson - Conservative Party, Ken Livingstone - The Labour Party, Winston McKenzie - Independent, Matt O'Connor - English Democrats, Brian Paddick - Liberal Democrats.

Full details of the London Mayoral and Assembly candidates for the 1.5.2008 London Elections at:

London Elects - The candidates

and in posting number three at:

UKIP Gerard Batten London mayor Election Broadcast
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Old 30-04-2008, 08:57 AM   #6 (permalink)
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There are only five parties that have any chance of winning seats. The big three, the Greens, and the BNP.

UKIP definitely won't make it, and all the other micro-parties will be struggling to get over one percent.
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Old 30-04-2008, 09:39 AM   #7 (permalink)
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Indigo

Are you talking

1) 1st Preference Mayoral Vote

2) 2nd Preference Mayoral Vote

3) Constituency London Assembly
or
4) London Party List

If you are talking 1) then you may be right

If you are talking 3) you are talking out of your bottom as the BNP only have one candidate out of 14

If you are talking 2) and 4) you are also talking out of your bottom as trends from 2000 and 2004 show that the minor parties vote considerably improves in these votes.
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Old 30-04-2008, 10:02 AM   #8 (permalink)
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Default Mayor of London, second preference votes, UKIP, English Democrats

The deciding factor on who is Mayor of London from Friday of this week onwards could well be second preference votes from small parties including UKIP and the English Democrats (if the vote for Mayor is extremely close - as I believe it will be).

I hope europhile Livingstone gets thrown out of City Hall in this week's election. He deserves it.
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Old 30-04-2008, 10:07 AM   #9 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kentishman View Post
Indigo

Are you talking

1) 1st Preference Mayoral Vote

2) 2nd Preference Mayoral Vote

3) Constituency London Assembly
or
4) London Party List

If you are talking 1) then you may be right

If you are talking 3) you are talking out of your bottom as the BNP only have one candidate out of 14

If you are talking 2) and 4) you are also talking out of your bottom as trends from 2000 and 2004 show that the minor parties vote considerably improves in these votes.
I'm talking about the London Party List.

Smaller parties aren't going to win constituency seats, and you can't win seats on the mayor.

Do you really think the ED's are going to get 6%? If not, what percentage is your expectation?

My guess is that the first digit will be zero.
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Old 30-04-2008, 11:21 AM   #10 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kentishman View Post
Combination of the Two On-line Polls gives

Conservative & Unionist 52%

Labour (Anti-English) 15%

English Democrats 11.5%

Liberal Democrat (Pro EUssr) 7%

British Nasty Party 5.5%

UKIP 5%

Christians 1.5%

Green 1%

Left List 0.5%

Independent 0.5%

Circa 20,000 Votes
If you're going to re-write the Sun, then surely "English Idiotocrats" is a must.
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