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Originally Posted by kernow
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Bluemerle
Cameron seems to think that getting the key to No 10 is the most important thing. He doesn't care that he is losing his core vote, he is just after the touchy feely voter.
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I'm sure you're right, in fact I think he'll achieve his aim and turn out to be an even bigger control freak than Blair! |
The Cameron-led Conservatives are 1% ahead in the polls (ICM Sunday Mirror, 1.10.2006) now - as compared to Labour, who (even when led by the fool Kinnock) were 10% ahead of the Conservatives (at the same 'stage in the electoral cycle/parliamentary term as regards the 1992 election as we are now at as regards the next General Election - 2009/10).
Kernow (above) mentions the Conservative core vote. The simple fact is that without it, the Conservative Party cannot win a General Election - because it is bigger than any extra votes that David Cameron thinks he can win over.
Quite apart from the fact that - according to 'experts' - under present and new electoral boundaries the Conservatives actually need to be up to 10% ahead of the Labour Party at the next General Election to have the chance of an overall majority of 1 in the Commons. I may dispute the 10% figures (as possibly being a bit high) but I do not doubt that a 1% lead for the Conservatives in the opinion polls is not enough for the party to win the next General Election.
I notice that UKIP have gone up to 4% (according to one poll out last week). It seems it is picking up votes from Labour, the Conservatives and from the europhile Liberal Dims.
03-10-2006, 07:01 PM
Conservatives have already lost some of core vote
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