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Old 27-10-2006, 10:45 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Default Vote Predications at the EU Elections

What % of the vote do you think the 3 Patriotic parties of UKIP, the BNP and the EDP will get at the European Election?

My prediction for the next European election is -

UKIP - 13%
BNP - 10%
EDP - 3%
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Old 28-10-2006, 12:05 AM   #2 (permalink)
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If they were tomorrow you could be right.

However they are 2.5 years away.

Before then we have

Welsh Assembly and London Assembly Elections

and several sets of English Council Elections.

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Old 28-10-2006, 09:38 AM   #3 (permalink)
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Regardless of who gets what exactly, you will all split about 26% of the vote three ways. And possibly on the same day as the General Election (or close to).

Contesting that at the same time will no doubt break someone's back.
You're all jumping to the tunes of others'
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Old 28-10-2006, 10:59 PM   #4 (permalink)
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Default Electoral performance of some of the smaller parties

In the May 2006 local elections it appears that UKIP did better in rural and semi-urban constituencies and th BNP were ahead (of UKIP) in urbanised wards. The English Democrats have performed well in local ward By-Elections wherever they have contested them this year.
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