Britannist

An opinion poll to be published in the europhile Guardian newspaper today (22.8.2006) will show that the Conservative Party now has a 9% lead over the governing Labour Party. The ICM poll says Labour are on 31% and the europhile Liberal Dims have a 22% share of the vote.

However, the poll is not all what it seems - the Conservatives under the leadership of the pro-EU and anti-UKIP David Cameron, have actually only picked up an extra 1% on an ICM poll a month ago. The gap between the Conservatives and Labour has widened almost entirely due to the Liberal Dims taking 4% off Labour (cutting the Labour share from 35% a month ago to 31% now).

Had the Liberal Dims not cut into the Labour share of the vote in the ICM opinion poll, the Conservative Party would still only have a lead over Labour of between 4% and 5% - as it has done in the months since the Blair regime was further damaged by bad publicity over the joker Prescott and the alleged Peerage and Labour donations business.

Sadly, the europhile Liberal Dims are up 5% on a month ago overall.

ICM say this is Labour's lowest share of the vote in an ICM poll for 19 years.

Laura Kuennsburg, political correspondent on BBC 2 Television Newsnight, said on 21.8.2006 "Some will say that it (the Conservative 9% poll lead in the ICM survey) is not that convincing (for David Cameron). They will point out that he (David Cameron) should be doing better considering the problems the Labour Government have had and still have."


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