
Originally Posted by
Wowbanger TIP
You presuppose that the cost of the war was known before hand. Hindsight is a historical crime.
It would have been entirely reasonable to suppose that the Second World War would have been a short lived affair. Based on the final stage of the Great War, the hundred days, and interwar conflicts a war of mobility fought by armored and motorized divisions backed by air power seemed likely to be intense but concluded quickly. Only the French believed in a war of attrition on the model of the last war. Moreover with Germany fighting on two fronts and on paper markedly inferior to the allies in terms of men and equipment and with a supposedly substantial anti-Nazi German socialist/communist population waiting for the chance to overthrow Hitler the prospects seemed promising.
It may seem to some that the determination to maintain the balance of
power in Europe was unreasonable. However this has to be seen in its historical context. The Congress of Vienna had been written on the basis of establishing a balance of power in Europe. From the perspective of 1939 it seemed to have successfully delivered a century of peace broken only by German aggression in 1861, 1866, 1870 and 1914. Remarkable given that peace was traditionally the exception and not the rule in Europe before 1815. It appeared self evident that a united Gross Deutsch nation was simply a disaster waiting to happen, as indeed it was, and if it could be tamed long term peace could be re-established.
Indeed the fear of German power was the central driving force of the establishment of the long succession of supra-national organizations which have culminated in the EU. When you hear the argument "the EU guarantees peace in Europe", which was the main argument in its favor for decades, the implicit subtext is "either we join and manage Germany or fight them again". Not that most of the dullards advancing such argument have the historical literacy to understand that.
The idea of allowing Germany, already showing an aggressive disregard for the authority of Versailles and the power of France and Britain, and already pumped up on Austria and the Sudetenland to add half of Poland to it's resource base would have seemed insanity to any historically literate person in 39'. Particularly with the Alacas-Lorraine question promising a reckoning in the near future anyway.
Morality and the Camps had almost zero impact on the decision to fight in 39' that was all geo-politics. Dozens of Eastern European regimes used similar methods and no-one cared then and no-one cares now. Moreover since the Holocaust was in the future it is far from certain that the French and British might not have done something similar in the near future in order to contain socialist radicalism themselves.
You may argue that "It will all be over by Christmas" seems ludicrous given the recent experience of the Great War, but that's the Progressive mentality for you, things are different now, it cant happen to us because we are special.
You may argue that it is unfair to characterize everyone who questions the declaration of war in 39' as Nazis but you must know that if you unload on anyone doing so you will hit a Nazi 99% of the time. None of my argument have appealed to any great morality anyway and the only criticism on this score I'm leveling at the Nazis is that they knew their actions must result in a general European conflict.
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