A real target and measure of major success for UKIP would be to beat Labour, which will need about a 10% vote, feeding primarily off betrayed former new Labour voters going to Lib Dem but UKIP actively targeting the Old Labour vote, Tory non Cameron vote, and in particular the Lib Dem pro democracy vote betrayed by the Lib Dem establishment. The wotsit in the woodpile for UKIP is of course BNP which will target Old Labour and non Cameron Tories also and target those that dont vote cos no party represents their concerns. Despite all this , really intelligent thinking stratgey and leaflet and publicity design will enable UKIP to successfully get a message over to appeal to all those it needs to target plus the young voter and pensioners. & it MUST have an answer to show UKIP is relevant for a vote in a safe Tory seat & BNP and other small parties are not. 10% is just about achievable , but the real problem is how UKIP will break out of it's former election mindset to develop the multi aspect messages to the voters that are needed. Also UKIP has to answer the question by the 18% MEP UKIP voters... what have you guys done since I voted for you 2004? . Even Bromley with almost nothing to say in its leaflets to appeal other than to the converted and with Tory abstainers en masse refusing to vote UKIP, resulted in 8% and UKIP beating Labour . Be optimistic.
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