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Old 30-04-2008, 10:07 AM   #9 (permalink)
indigo
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Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 45
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kentishman View Post
Indigo

Are you talking

1) 1st Preference Mayoral Vote

2) 2nd Preference Mayoral Vote

3) Constituency London Assembly
or
4) London Party List

If you are talking 1) then you may be right

If you are talking 3) you are talking out of your bottom as the BNP only have one candidate out of 14

If you are talking 2) and 4) you are also talking out of your bottom as trends from 2000 and 2004 show that the minor parties vote considerably improves in these votes.
I'm talking about the London Party List.

Smaller parties aren't going to win constituency seats, and you can't win seats on the mayor.

Do you really think the ED's are going to get 6%? If not, what percentage is your expectation?

My guess is that the first digit will be zero.
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