Originally Posted by Baron von Lotsov

Do you think though that since he is obviously well qualified for the job and has been an MP for a long time and has a very healthy margin, that given good UKIP support he could keep it? He's miles ahead of the rivals going on those figures. People often don't vote for smaller parties because they don't think they have the standing to represent them properly and they tend to stick with what they know. Take a look at Martin Bell, he pulled it off. Ofcourse if he did manage to then it might encourage more defections. People aren't that keen on the Tories anyway, they just see them as a better bet than the terrible Labour Party.