My view, as a non renewing member, is that the LT offered a genuine chance to make our relationship with the EU a key issue with the voters at the next GE - and still is. NF has not seized this opportunity by offering a post ratification referendum at the next GE. This should have been declared immediately the HofC passed the Treaty and should have been the key policy ever since - leaflets stating this to be the case should be delivered to every home in Britain with as many follow ups as possible.
A small party needs a long run in if it is to make a difference, if a snap election is called, there will not be enough time for UKIP to make its position absolutely clear to the voters and why. Even if it did not lead to seats at Westminster, since it is clear that there is a desire by the electorate for a referendum - this policy would certainly increase UKIP's poll rating and is likely to have pushed the Tories into offering one if they want to form the next government.
Until the LT came into focus, I did not really doubt that NF's true wish was to get us out of Europe. However, I believe that the Bromley and Chislehurst bye election was a critical point for him. He threw all the resources UKIP had at his attempt to win and when he got only 8% he decided that UKIP were not going to win Westminster seats, on the basis that if he could not win then no one else could. NF is extremely egotistical, but more damaging is he has little patience, he is a stuntman, whilst changing our relationship with Europe needs for UKIP to play the long-game.
It was this event, I believe, that changed him from a conviction politician to a career politician. However, died in the wool UKIP supporters, although troubled, cannot bring themselves to accept this truth even when it is abundantly clear that NF's next objective is to win as many seats at the worthless EU Parliament because the public are disappointed there was no referendum, rather than battle the progress of the LT every step of the way.
I don't really care too much about UKIP, but I don't want Britain to become a province of a, German dominated, Europe and if this is to be prevented - UKIP needs to play its part in full.
Last edited by Millennium3; 30-03-2008 at 04:48 PM.
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