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Old 20-01-2008, 10:15 PM   #8 (permalink)
McLean
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Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Southampton, England
Posts: 11
McLean is just starting out
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A reality check:

1. Ron Paul has done better in caucuses - where it is activists that count - than in primaries. That is in line with a campaign heavy on a fanatical minority but short on popular support.

2. Mitt Romney was running away with this one and it was left virtually uncontested by the other main candidates. Romney eventually took over 50% of the vote. That none of the other top candidates performed well is a reflection of that fact.

3. 13% in Nevada is his top score so far - the 4% (and 5th place) in South Carolina last night was more indicative of his overall performance.

4. Giuliani has more or less written off the earliest states to focus on Florida, hence his poor results so far. He will be much more prominent in Florida even if his campaign fails to take off, and Ron Paul will do well to take 5th place.

5. The media did not cover Huckabee until he started getting real votes. A distant 13% is not going to shift them, so stop complaining. Huckabee is up there because he is polling well and has a win in Iowa under his belt.

6. (With reference to arden forester's post) Ron Paul did not beat Hillary Clinton's vote tally. The Democratic Party figures were for county level delegates, not actual votes. They therefore do not correspond in any way to the Republican Party caucus figures.
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