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Old 13-12-2006, 09:26 PM   #5 (permalink)
Independent UKIP
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Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: London
Posts: 2,225
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It all depends on whether FPTP is maintained & if not what system succeeds it. Under FPTP I'd say Green & if I'm correct probably in this seat:

Brighton Pavilion

David Lepper Labour 15,427 35.4 -13.3
Mike Weatherley Conservative 10,397 23.9 -1.2
Keith Taylor Green 9,571 22.0 +12.7
Hazel Thorpe Liberal Democrat 7,171 16.5 +3.4
Kimberley Crisp-Comotto UK Independence Party 508 1.2 +0.3
Tony Greenstein Alliance for Green Socialism 188 0.4 +0.4
Ian Fyvie Socialist Labour Party 152 0.3 -1.1
Christopher Rooke Independent 122 0.3 +0.3
Keith Jago Independent 42 0.1 +0.1

Possible that Labour support will fall further, tories maintain their support and Lib Dems transfer to the Greens to get Labour out & ensure tories don't win. Soc Lab & AGS voters would also probably need to vote Green for them to win.

Edit: Britannist you submitted your post whilst I was writing/researching mine. We're thinking in the same direction.
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