British Democracy Forum - View Single Post - Bromley

Britannist · 19-06-2006, 05:14 PM

To win Bromley, Nigel needs to get nearly six times the vote he secured last year (in the General Election) at Thanet, South (and even then that share of the vote - about 29% - would only give the chance to win for UKIP on a three-way split with the Conservatives and Campbell's europhile Fiberal Dims).

The media won't be looking at percentage share of the vote - they'll be looking at the ranking of the parties. I've read that 'Tony' Bliar's Liebour Party is seriously worried about being pushed further down the ranking by UKIP beating them for third place.

If UKIP gets third place in the Bromley By-Election it will have done very well and all but the most europhile newspapers would report UKIP's success favourably. To get into third place at Bromley, Nigel needs to at least double his percentage share of the vote (just over 5%) he obtained at Thanet, South. This would also mean he could possibly just match the 10% of the vote UKIP secured in the Staffordshire South delayed constituency poll on 24.6.2005.

19-06-2006, 05:14 PM	#17 (permalink)
Britannist Uber Member Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: London Posts: 22,896	Best UKIP can achieve at Bromley this time is third place To win Bromley, Nigel needs to get nearly six times the vote he secured last year (in the General Election) at Thanet, South (and even then that share of the vote - about 29% - would only give the chance to win for UKIP on a three-way split with the Conservatives and Campbell's europhile Fiberal Dims). The media won't be looking at percentage share of the vote - they'll be looking at the ranking of the parties. I've read that 'Tony' Bliar's Liebour Party is seriously worried about being pushed further down the ranking by UKIP beating them for third place. If UKIP gets third place in the Bromley By-Election it will have done very well and all but the most europhile newspapers would report UKIP's success favourably. To get into third place at Bromley, Nigel needs to at least double his percentage share of the vote (just over 5%) he obtained at Thanet, South. This would also mean he could possibly just match the 10% of the vote UKIP secured in the Staffordshire South delayed constituency poll on 24.6.2005.