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Old 16-06-2006, 11:43 PM   #10 (permalink)
Britannist
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Default 10% - 20% would be good - third place should be the aim

Third place in the Bromley By-Election would be a good result for UKIP - I think all reasonable political 'analysts' in the media would accept that. I read something in one of the 'papers a couple of days ago which implied that 'Tony' Bliar's Liebour Party are worried at being pushed out of third place at Bromley-Chislehurst by UKIP on 29.6.2006.

So, it may not be a question of percentage share of the vote - the media may simply be looking at the ranking.

I voted for 20% above - although a 10% share for UKIP (a party presently short of money and 'ground troops') might also be considered quite impressive (at the Bromley By-Election).

Nigel Farage got 2079 votes (just over 5%) at Thanet, South in last year's General Election. He needs quite a jump in support to reach even 10% of the vote at Bromley.

I think it's fair to say that if UKIP gets a higher percentage share of the vote in Bromley on 29.6.2006 than it got in the delayed poll in the Staffordshire South constituency on 24.6.2005 then the party will be doing well. Both seats are similar in that they are Conservative-held partly rural constituencies on the edge of large conurbations.
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